Viktor Bobyrenko on Changes on the Political Front: “The Tranche from the IMF Is Likely To Be Postponed” (Comments.ua)

03 May 2021

An expert of the NGO Bureau of Policy Analysis Viktor Bobyrenko believes that we shouldn’t even expect for any moves in the change of individual members of the Cabinet, which some analysts and politicians expect.

"Prime Minister Shmyhal will definitely spend the spring on his position. Zelensky is very satisfied with him, because the entire negative is focused on him. Like the Head of the Ministry of Health Stepanov, the expert predicts. There will be a demand for our metallurgical, agricultural products”.

Viktor Bobyrenko predicts that May will be more or less calm in Ukraine. Like summer which is a time of vacation and calm in the political season.

It’ll become hot in the fall, including against the background of the first effects of the opening of the land market, says the expert. However, Yulia Tymoshenko, who opposes this step, will constantly raise information waves around this topic. But May, I repeat, will be calm in the political sense. And in economic. Domestic government bonds of Ukraine and Eurobonds will be sold; the budget will be slowly filled.

Commenting on the change of the leadership of Naftogaz, as well as the “cleansing” of supervisory boards in general, which is gaining momentum, Bobyrenko called it another confirmation for our Western partners that Ukraine is a corrupt country that does not honor its commitments.

The state’s influence on corporate governance does not give us points. So the tranche from the IMF is likely to be postponed, said Viktor Bobyrenko. - And the law on oligarchy, with which Zelensky is trying to appease the West, is unlikely to be adopted in the near future.

According to the expert, this bill will be put in standby mode. Bobyrenko claims that politicians will periodically wave this topic, but in fact will not actively promote it. At least not in the coming months.

As a result: in the political sense, May should be calm, nothing should unbalance the state. Except, of course, the “black swans”, which can arrive at any time. As the same investigation in the case of the Wagner Group, the results of which may shake the position of the President’s Office.

Source: Comments.ua